Today I read the Saudi’s are
starting another oil price war. This
time will be different and I predict it will lead to a hot war. The Middle East is already chaotic and
hurting so they can’t take much more. This
will only exacerbate a breakdown of order in the Middle East and lead to a more
intensive wide-scale war in the region to restore order.
There is already a region-wide war
ongoing. Yemen and Saudi Arabia are
already fighting. Libya rebels,
government and Turkey are already fighting.
Syria, Russia, US, Iran, and Turkey are already fighting. Israel is fighting Iran already via Syria and
proxy strikes. Iran will continue
attacking US interests via proxies as rocket strikes on US assets are still
continuously happening in Iraq. As
everyone moves to protect their interests, they will increasingly use their
militaries to achieve their goals since it doesn’t seem to be achievable at the
negotiating table.
Saudis want OPEC + Russia to toe
the line and there will be a push back. Middle
East nations will hurt and start aligning with Iran to counter what is to be
seen as Saudi aggression. I predict Iran
with the help of Russian covert ops will use their proxy forces to strike Saudi
Arabia to disrupt their oil production and lead to increases in the price of
oil. This price war isn’t like the past
price wars they have engaged in.
Tensions are already high.
Coronavirus is causing economic strains.
Conflicts are already in place. Every action has a counteraction to
balance it out.
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